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F1: Spanish try: the Barcelona race prediction by Virgil Ellipse
18th May 2011
After a pretty successful prediction for China, the Turkey forecast represented a return to form for dotdotdotcomma's statistics boffins, with a strike rate of just three out of 24 drivers.

That said, two of those three correct predictions were first and second places, although we don't expect much credit for guessing that Red Bull would fill the top two steps of the podium. The only other driver we placed correctly was Nick Heidfeld in seventh.

And so it's on to Spain and our forecast software seems to be showing a little local bias here, as it's predicting a win for Fernando Alonso, while the beleaguered Adrian Sutil, currently looking at a charge of assault, is languishing in last place. Believe us, our prediction algorithms are nothing like sophisticated enough to factor in elements such as home-track advantage or driver motivation, so treat this prophecy as you would a low-sodium diet: take it with a large pinch of salt.
  1     Fernando Alonso
  2     Sebastian Vettel
  3     Mark Webber
  4     Lewis Hamilton
  5     Nick Heidfeld
  6     Felipe Massa
  7     Vitaly Petrov
  8     Jenson Button
  9     Kamui Kobayashi
  10    Rubens Barrichello
  11    Pastor Maldonado
  12    Nico Rosberg
  13    Sergio Perez
  14    Paul di Resta
  15    Sebastien Buemi
  16    Michael Schumacher
  17    Narain Karthikeyan
  18    Heikki Kovalainen
  19    Vitantonio Liuzzi
  20    Jaime Alguersuari
  21    Jarno Trulli
  22    Timo Glock
  23    Jerome D'Ambrosio
  24    Adrian Sutil

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